◉The Wins Feed Open the partner account
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The Wins Feed / Read the feed
Desk 65 - the wins you are shown

Reading a wins display in six minutes

This is the desk’s method compressed into a routine. It needs no tool beyond the display itself, and it produces one number - the interval - that the display was arranged not to show.

Open the partner accountRead a feed in six minutes
Feed stub
Time needed
about 6 minutes
Numbers produced
2: the bar and the interval
Rows to count
12 is enough
Guess required
one, and it is labelled
the barThe multiple a win must reach to be eligible for the display - on the sample, 250 times the stake
the poolThe players and spins the rows were drawn from - on the sample, 4,750 players placing 1,900,000 spins in the hour
the intervalThe hours between one player's own qualifying wins - on the sample, 10.4 hours at 400 spins an hour
Direct answerRead a wins feed in six minutes by finding its bar, counting its bands, asking what pool the rows were drawn from, converting the largest multiple to money at your own stake, and computing the interval between your own wins as the rate divided by your spin pace. The interval is the number a display will never print.

The routine

  1. Find the bar. Look for the multiple a win must reach. If it is not stated, note that it is not stated, and treat every row as an unqualified sample until told otherwise.
  2. Count the bands. Sort the visible rows into small, middle and large and note the top band’s share of rows. A top band near half the feed against a normal distribution is the display’s editorial signature.
  3. Ask for the pool. The player count or spin count behind the rows is the denominator. The sample book publishes it on none of its twelve feeds, which is a fact about displays rather than about casinos.
  4. Convert to your money. Multiply the top multiple by your own stake. A 250-times row is a different figure to every reader, and the display cannot know which one they are.
  5. Compute the interval. Take the bar’s rate in spins, divide by your own spins an hour, and you have the hours between your own qualifying wins. This is the number the desk exists to produce.
  6. Write both numbers down. The bar and the interval. Reading a feed without them is reading a numerator, and a numerator with no denominator is not a rate.

The routine worked, on the sample

Six numbers from the sample feed and the hour behind it, produced by the routine above in order.

The six-minute read of the sample feedbar                                             250x
top band’s share of rows                        50.0%
top band’s real share            14 / 457 = 3.1%
over-representation          50.0% / 3.1% = 16.3x
pool behind the rows                             4,750 players
your interval, at 400 spins/hour   4,155 / 400 = 10.4 hours
your qualifying wins a year           104 x 400 / 4,155 = 10
your expected feed rows a year  10 x 2.6% = 0.26, or one in 3.8 years

Six minutes produces the interval, the over-representation and the reader’s own expected appearances in the feed, none of which the feed itself will ever show.

What to do with the number