The Wins Feed / The numbers
Desk 65 - the wins you are shown
Every figure, and where it comes from
One page carries the whole arithmetic of the desk. Every number below is derived from the six invented samples declared on the overview, so that a figure cannot be chosen to fit an argument.
Feed stub
- Samples
- six, invented
- Routes
- 17
- Figures
- all of them
- Re-derivable
- by hand
the barThe multiple a win must reach to be eligible for the display - on the sample, 250 times the stake
the poolThe players and spins the rows were drawn from - on the sample, 4,750 players placing 1,900,000 spins in the hour
the intervalThe hours between one player's own qualifying wins - on the sample, 10.4 hours at 400 spins an hour
Direct answerEvery figure on this desk follows from six invented samples: a twelve-row feed, an hour of 1,900,000 spins across 4,750 players with a 1-in-4,155 rate of a 250-times win, the band split of the 457 qualifying wins, one player at 400 spins an hour, a celebration at 25 times, and forty invented sites’ displays.
The hour, from the rate up
S1 and S2 - the feed and the hourplayers 4,750 spins per player 400 spins in the hour 1,900,000 rate of a 250x win or better 1 in 4,155 qualifying wins 457 rows the feed shows 12 share shown 2.6% (1 in 38) wins per player an hour 0.096, or 1 in 10.4 hours chance in any hour for one player 9.6%
The shape of the 457
S3 - the bands, and the feed’s rowsband wins share rows share ratio 250 - 500x 375 82.1% 2 16.7% 0.20x 500 - 2,000x 68 14.9% 4 33.3% 2.24x 2,000x and up 14 3.1% 6 50.0% 16.3x median win 328x median row 1,640x inflation of the typical row 1,640 / 328 = 5.0x
The reader’s own year
S4 and S5 - one player, and the celebrationplay 104 hours a year spins 41,600 qualifying wins 41,600 / 4,155 = 10.0 rows the feed shows them 12 x 104 = 1,248 of the reader’s 10 wins, shown 10 x 2.6% = 0.26 so one row about the reader every 3.8 years staked at 1.00 41,600.00 returned at a 96.0% rate 39,936.00 expected result -1,664.00 celebration at 25x, per 400-spin session 1.05 share of sessions ending below the start 71%
The displays, counted
S6 - 40 invented sitessites examined 40 with a recent-wins feed 12 stating the threshold 0 of 12 stating the pooled volume 0 of 12 showing a losing round anywhere 0 of 12 showing only a multiple, no stake 9 of 12 offering a verify link 3 of 12 verifying a named round 1 of 12 showing a spend counter anywhere 2 of 40
The ticker, and the stream
The meter and the streammeter pool 2,400,000.00 rises per hour 1,180.00 rate of the round that takes it 1 in 1,000,000 spins pooled interval 1,900,000 / 1,000,000 = 1.9 an hour so every 60 / 1.9 = 31.6 minutes somewhere one player’s interval 1,000,000 / 400 = 2,500 hours in two-hour weeks 2,500 / 104 = 24.0 years four-hour stream, 1,600 spins, 250x win chance 38.5%